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China’s machine tool industry has indeed encountered challenges in the past two years, but challenges and opportunities coexist. To develop NC press brake industry, our government and machine tool enterprises have also made efforts. But, as the saying goes, “only if you treat the symptoms, you can get rid of the disease,” so where is the breakthrough of NC press brake industry, especially high-end CNC machine tools?
¿Dónde está el camino a la ruptura?
En la actualidad, la industria mundial de máquinas herramienta aún se encuentra en un punto bajo y no hay signos aparentes de recuperación de la industria. La industria nacional de máquinas herramienta muestra tres características: la industria se encuentra en la etapa de imitación, el vaciado de tecnologías centrales cruciales y la profunda maraña del mercado de gama media y baja. Los expertos de la industria dijeron que eliminar la capacidad de producción en el extremo medio y bajo, reemplazar las importaciones en el extremo superior e ingresar al mercado de consumo de máquinas herramienta son los tres caminos críticos para el avance de la industria nacional de máquinas herramienta.
Entre ellos, la promoción de la eliminación de capacidad en el extremo medio y bajo depende de la plena cooperación de las empresas, los gobiernos locales y el estado. La resistencia en este proceso incluye impuestos y otros juegos de intereses de los gobiernos locales. Además, la colocación de personal después de la eliminación de capacidad y la inversión de capital e investigación y desarrollo en capacidad de producción de alto nivel también son problemas que deben resolverse.
La sustitución de las importaciones de máquinas herramienta CNC de gama alta es el mayor objetivo y la oportunidad para las máquinas herramienta nacionales en esta etapa. En la actualidad, algunas empresas nacionales como Rifa Seiki, Yawei Co., Ltd., Shenyang Machine Tool, Guangzhou CNC y otras empresas ya cuentan con tecnología específica de procesamiento de producción y acumulación de tecnología de máquina herramienta CNC de alta gama. La placa corta es una brecha con los países extranjeros en la precisión del procesamiento y la estabilidad del producto. Si se resuelve la industrialización de las máquinas herramienta CNC de alta gama, la brecha entre la fabricación china y la Industria 4.0 alemana se reducirá significativamente.
From the assembly of the whole machine to the field of machine tool consumption, it is the third path forNC press brakeindustry to break through. Despite the downturn in the machine tool market, the consumer market situation of machine tools is quite good, and listed companies related to machine tool parts have performed quite well. A brokerage researcher said, “Although the growth rate of the machine tool market is almost stagnant, the market for key parts replacement of machine tools is huge; in addition, the post-machine tool market for the renovation and upgrading of used machine tools also has great potential.”
Todavía se puede esperar un desarrollo futuro
Breaking the shackles from the above three paths, coupled with the adjustment of the economic structure and the deepening of cooperation between government and enterprise, the machine tool industry will develop rapidly. It is understood that due to the massive increase in demand for critical equipment manufacturing industries such as defense, aviation, high-speed rail, automobiles, and molds, China’s CNC machine tool production has maintained a rapid growth rate. The annual compound growth rate of China’s CNC machine tool production in the past five years has been 37.39%. Combining the total assets of China’s CNC machine tool industry and China’s economic growth data in recent years, according to the linear regression forecasting method, it is preliminarily estimated that the assets of China’s CNC machine tool industry will reach 270 billion yuan by 2020.
The importance of machine tool equipment has been fully reflected in the “Made in China 2025” and technology roadmap. High-grade CNC machine tools have been identified as one of the ten key breakthrough areas in the strategy of manufacturing power, and breakthroughs in the other nine significant areas also depend on whether machine tool equipment can take the lead in strengthening. Data show that the domestic market of high-end CNC machine tools has a scale of tens of billions of yuan and has good growth. Still, this market is almost monopolized by foreign high-end CNC machine tools, and there is enormous room for import substitution.
General Secretary Xi Jinping once pointed out: “Only by taking core technologies into our own hands can we truly master the initiative of competition and development, and can we fundamentally guarantee national economic security, national defense security, and other security.” The development history of NC press brake industry proves that the critical core of NC press brake cannot be repurchased and must be based on independent innovation. I believe that after 5-10 years of hard work, today in China’s home appliances, mobile phones, and other industries may be a better tomorrow for China’s NC press brake tools and even the entire machine tool industry.