数控折弯机行业的突围之路何去何从？

China’s machine tool industry has indeed encountered challenges in the past two years, but challenges and opportunities coexist. To develop NC press brake industry, our government and machine tool enterprises have also made efforts. But, as the saying goes, “only if you treat the symptoms, you can get rid of the disease,” so where is the breakthrough of NC press brake industry, especially high-end CNC machine tools?

突破之路在哪里？

目前，全球机床行业仍处于低谷，行业复苏迹象不明显。国内机床行业呈现出三个特点：行业处于模仿阶段、关键核心技术空心化、中低端市场深度纠结。业内人士表示，中低端去产能、高端替代进口、进军机床消费市场是国内机床行业突围的三大关键路径。

其中，中低端去产能的推进，有赖于企业、地方政府、国家的通力合作。这一过程中的阻力包括地方政府的税收和其他利益博弈。此外，去产能后的人员安置以及高端产能的资金和研发投入也是亟待解决的问题。

高端数控机床替代进口是现阶段国产机床最大的目标和机遇。目前，国内一些企业如日发精机、亚威、沉阳机床、广州数控等企业已经具备了特定的高端数控机床技术积累和生产加工技术。短板在加工精度和产品稳定性上与国外存在差距。如果解决高端数控机床产业化问题，中国制造与德国工业4.0的差距将明显缩小。

From the assembly of the whole machine to the field of machine tool consumption, it is the third path forNC press brakeindustry to break through. Despite the downturn in the machine tool market, the consumer market situation of machine tools is quite good, and listed companies related to machine tool parts have performed quite well. A brokerage researcher said, “Although the growth rate of the machine tool market is almost stagnant, the market for key parts replacement of machine tools is huge; in addition, the post-machine tool market for the renovation and upgrading of used machine tools also has great potential.”

未来发展仍可期待

Breaking the shackles from the above three paths, coupled with the adjustment of the economic structure and the deepening of cooperation between government and enterprise, the machine tool industry will develop rapidly. It is understood that due to the massive increase in demand for critical equipment manufacturing industries such as defense, aviation, high-speed rail, automobiles, and molds, China’s CNC machine tool production has maintained a rapid growth rate. The annual compound growth rate of China’s CNC machine tool production in the past five years has been 37.39%. Combining the total assets of China’s CNC machine tool industry and China’s economic growth data in recent years, according to the linear regression forecasting method, it is preliminarily estimated that the assets of China’s CNC machine tool industry will reach 270 billion yuan by 2020.

The importance of machine tool equipment has been fully reflected in the “Made in China 2025” and technology roadmap. High-grade CNC machine tools have been identified as one of the ten key breakthrough areas in the strategy of manufacturing power, and breakthroughs in the other nine significant areas also depend on whether machine tool equipment can take the lead in strengthening. Data show that the domestic market of high-end CNC machine tools has a scale of tens of billions of yuan and has good growth. Still, this market is almost monopolized by foreign high-end CNC machine tools, and there is enormous room for import substitution.

General Secretary Xi Jinping once pointed out: “Only by taking core technologies into our own hands can we truly master the initiative of competition and development, and can we fundamentally guarantee national economic security, national defense security, and other security.” The development history of NC press brake industry proves that the critical core of NC press brake cannot be repurchased and must be based on independent innovation. I believe that after 5-10 years of hard work, today in China’s home appliances, mobile phones, and other industries may be a better tomorrow for China’s NC press brake tools and even the entire machine tool industry.